Entertainment prediction markets

Awards nights, box office weekends, chart toppers. Entertainment markets turn hot takes into positions.

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Most traded today

  1. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? $1.4M vol Ends 5 Jan 202714%Yes
  2. Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? $836.2k vol Ends 1 Nov 2026<1%Yes
  3. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? $41.7M vol Ends 1 Jan 20275%Yes
  4. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? $717.7k vol Ends 5 Jan 202757%Yes
  5. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? $713.9k vol Ends 5 Jan 202768%Yes
  6. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? $348.8k vol Ends 1 Jan 202819%Yes
  7. Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? $52.1k vol Ends 14 Oct 202694%Yes
  8. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? $264.0k vol Ends 1 Jan 202811%Yes
  9. Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? $221.5k vol Ends 16 Oct 202698%Yes
  10. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? $275.3k vol Ends 5 Jan 202784%Yes
  11. Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? $26.0k vol Ends 24 Oct 202697%Yes
  12. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? $66.5M vol Ends 1 Jan 20271%Yes
  13. Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? $34.5k vol Ends 17 Oct 202698%Yes
  14. Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? $45.8k vol Ends 15 Oct 202696%Yes
  15. Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? $460.9k vol Ends 1 Feb 202750%Yes
  16. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? $190.7k vol Ends 1 Jan 202818%Yes
  17. GTA VI released by November 30? $97.5k vol Ends 1 Dec 202697%Yes
  18. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? $251.1k vol Ends 1 Nov 202698%Yes
  19. Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? $143.2k vol Ends 1 Mar 2027<1%Yes
  20. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? $459.8k vol Ends 5 Jan 202725%Yes
  21. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? $274.7k vol Ends 1 Jan 202826%Yes
  22. Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? $5.3M vol Ends 1 Jan 20273%Yes
  23. Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? $6.2k vol Ends 21 Jan 20273%Yes
  24. Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? $59.0k vol Ends 1 Dec 2026>99%Yes

Entertainment markets: common questions

What is a prediction market?

A market on a yes/no question. A Yes share pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not, so its price (say 62¢) is the crowd’s probability (62%).

How much do I need to start?

Nothing to practise: every visitor gets $10,000 in demo funds. Live trades start from $1, funded with USDG, ETH, USDC, USDT or SOL.

What does leverage do?

It multiplies your exposure, up to 10×. A 5× position moves five times as much as the price, in both directions, and is closed automatically before it can lose more than your margin.

Where do prices come from?

Every market, price and order book is pulled live from Polymarket. Probio does not invent odds.

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