Technology prediction markets

Model releases, launches and lawsuits. Tech markets let you back the roadmap you believe in.

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  1. Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.2M vol Ends 1 Jan 202729%Yes
  2. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? $1.4M vol Ends 5 Jan 202714%Yes
  3. Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? $994.1k vol Ends 2 Jan 202769%Yes
  4. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? $717.7k vol Ends 5 Jan 202757%Yes
  5. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? $713.9k vol Ends 5 Jan 202768%Yes
  6. Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $949.7k vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  7. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? $348.8k vol Ends 1 Jan 202819%Yes
  8. Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.1M vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  9. Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? $52.1k vol Ends 14 Oct 202694%Yes
  10. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? $264.0k vol Ends 1 Jan 202811%Yes
  11. Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.1M vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  12. Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? $221.5k vol Ends 16 Oct 202698%Yes
  13. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? $275.3k vol Ends 5 Jan 202784%Yes
  14. Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $817.3k vol Ends 1 Jan 20272%Yes
  15. Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? $26.0k vol Ends 24 Oct 202697%Yes
  16. Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? $34.5k vol Ends 17 Oct 202698%Yes
  17. Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? $45.8k vol Ends 15 Oct 202696%Yes
  18. Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.4M vol Ends 1 Jan 202767%Yes
  19. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? $190.7k vol Ends 1 Jan 202818%Yes
  20. Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? $822.9k vol Ends 1 Jan 202797%Yes
  21. Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? $251.1k vol Ends 1 Nov 202698%Yes
  22. Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? $238.5k vol Ends 1 Jan 202725%Yes
  23. Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? $76.6k vol Ends 1 Jan 20284%Yes
  24. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? $118.7k vol Ends 31 Oct 2026>99%Yes

Technology markets: common questions

What is a prediction market?

A market on a yes/no question. A Yes share pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not, so its price (say 62¢) is the crowd’s probability (62%).

How much do I need to start?

Nothing to practise: every visitor gets $10,000 in demo funds. Live trades start from $1, funded with USDG, ETH, USDC, USDT or SOL.

What does leverage do?

It multiplies your exposure, up to 10×. A 5× position moves five times as much as the price, in both directions, and is closed automatically before it can lose more than your margin.

Where do prices come from?

Every market, price and order book is pulled live from Polymarket. Probio does not invent odds.

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