Business prediction markets

Deals, departures and deadlines. Business markets price the corporate stories everyone is guessing about.

Open markets
910
24h volume (top 24)
$3.3M
Trade business markets How it works

Most traded today

  1. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? $12.8M vol Ends 29 Oct 202687%Yes
  2. Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $9.8M vol Ends 29 Oct 202614%Yes
  3. Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? $5.8M vol Ends 29 Oct 2026<1%Yes
  4. Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? $6.7M vol Ends 29 Oct 2026<1%Yes
  5. Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $7.1M vol Ends 29 Oct 2026<1%Yes
  6. Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.2M vol Ends 1 Jan 202729%Yes
  7. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? $1.4M vol Ends 5 Jan 202714%Yes
  8. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? $14.9M vol Ends 1 Jan 202713%Yes
  9. Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? $994.1k vol Ends 2 Jan 202769%Yes
  10. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? $717.7k vol Ends 5 Jan 202757%Yes
  11. Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? $1.9M vol Ends 1 Jan 202712%Yes
  12. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? $1.3M vol Ends 1 Nov 2026<1%Yes
  13. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? $713.9k vol Ends 5 Jan 202768%Yes
  14. Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? $3.6M vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  15. Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $949.7k vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  16. Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? $1.2M vol Ends 1 Jan 202775%Yes
  17. Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? $3.4M vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  18. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? $348.8k vol Ends 1 Jan 202819%Yes
  19. Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.1M vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  20. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? $264.0k vol Ends 1 Jan 202811%Yes
  21. Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $1.1M vol Ends 1 Jan 2027<1%Yes
  22. Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? $443.1k vol Ends 31 Dec 202623%Yes
  23. Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? $275.3k vol Ends 5 Jan 202784%Yes
  24. Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? $817.3k vol Ends 1 Jan 20272%Yes

Business markets: common questions

What is a prediction market?

A market on a yes/no question. A Yes share pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not, so its price (say 62¢) is the crowd’s probability (62%).

How much do I need to start?

Nothing to practise: every visitor gets $10,000 in demo funds. Live trades start from $1, funded with USDG, ETH, USDC, USDT or SOL.

What does leverage do?

It multiplies your exposure, up to 10×. A 5× position moves five times as much as the price, in both directions, and is closed automatically before it can lose more than your margin.

Where do prices come from?

Every market, price and order book is pulled live from Polymarket. Probio does not invent odds.

More topics

PoliticsElectionsSportsCryptoEconomicsStocksTechnologyEntertainmentScienceWeatherFAQ